Other Charts
5 charts. Part of the chart reference.
BTC vs. DXY
Bitcoin against the US Dollar Index — historically strongly negatively correlated.
The DXY measures the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies (euro, yen, pound, and others). Bitcoin, priced in dollars and behaving like a liquidity-sensitive risk asset, has historically moved inversely to it: dollar strength coincides with BTC weakness and vice versa.
The big alignments are striking: the 2021 crypto top formed as DXY bottomed, the 2022 bear market tracked DXY's violent rally to 114, and BTC's recoveries have coincided with dollar retreats. The mechanism is macro: a rising dollar usually means tightening global liquidity — the tide that floats or sinks all risk assets.
BTC is on the log scale (right axis), DXY linear (left). The correlation is a regime, not a law — it weakens in quiet macro periods and tightens when the Fed dominates the narrative.
Benford's Law
Do Bitcoin's price digits follow the distribution of naturally occurring numbers?
Benford's Law says that in many naturally occurring datasets, smaller leading digits dominate: numbers starting with 1 appear ~30% of the time, with 9 under 5%. The bars compare Bitcoin's daily closing prices against that theoretical curve.
Data spanning many orders of magnitude (like a price that went from $0.07 to $120k) should follow Benford closely — and Bitcoin does, which is a neat statistical fingerprint of organic, multiplicative growth. Strong deviations in other assets can hint at manipulated or range-pinned prices.
Price Milestone Crossings
Every crossing of a round-number price level, plotted as events over time.
Each dot marks a day when price crossed a round-number milestone ($1k, $10k, $20k, …) in either direction. Clusters of dots at one level show price churning around that milestone; a level with a single dot was crossed once and never revisited.
Round numbers act as psychological support and resistance, and this chart makes the battlegrounds visible — the $10k and $20k levels were each crossed dozens of times before finally being left behind, while levels conquered in strong trends barely register a second dot.
Days Since % Decline
A running counter of days since the last single-day drop of 5%, 10%, or 20%.
The counter rises by one each day and resets to zero whenever a daily drop of at least the chosen size (5%, 10%, 20%) occurs, with price shown behind it for context.
Long stretches without a big red day are a feature of maturing bull markets — and the counter's height going into a top measures how complacent the market had become. The declining frequency of 10%+ days across the years is also one of the cleanest views of Bitcoin's falling volatility.
Days Since % Gain
A running counter of days since the last single-day gain of 5%, 10%, or 20%.
The mirror image of Days Since % Decline: the counter resets whenever a single-day gain of at least the chosen size occurs.
Big green days cluster in two regimes: euphoric bull runs and violent bear-market rallies. A very tall counter means the market has gone a long time without explosive upside — historically common in late bears and early accumulation phases, when volatility is compressed.