$65,210+0.82%
Dashboard

Bitcoin

Risk
0.044
0 = cheap ยท 1 = euphoric
Fair value
$113,367
fan median (ฯ„ 0.5)
Mayer Multiple
0.90
price / 200d SMA
RSI (14d)
57
Wilder
โ€“

All charts

Price
Price + Moving Averages

BTC/USD with toggleable overlays: log regression bands, Bull Market Support Band (20W SMA / 21W EMA), 50W and 200W SMAs.

Risk
Risk Metric

0โ€“1 risk score: price's percentile position inside the quantile regression fan. v2.

Risk
Quantile Regression Fan

Fan chart from asymmetric quadratic quantile regression โ€” the model behind the risk metric.

Risk
Price Color Coded By Risk

The full price history, colored by the risk metric at each point in time.

Risk
Time In Risk Bands

How many of Bitcoin's trading days fall into each 0.1-wide risk bucket.

Risk
Current Risk Levels

Today's risk bands projected onto the price scale.

Risk
Short Term Bubble Risk

How stretched price is above or below its 20-week average, ranked against history.

Cycles
ROI After Halving

Price multiples following each of Bitcoin's four halvings, overlaid day by day.

Cycles
ROI After Cycle Bottom

Recovery paths from each bear-market low, overlaid on a shared timeline.

Cycles
ROI After Cycle Peak

Drawdown-and-recovery paths from each cycle top, overlaid day by day.

Cycles
ROI After Latest Cycle Peak (Multiple Coins)

Each asset's multiple since the October 2025 market peak.

Cycles
ROI After Latest Peak (Crypto Pairs)

Each asset against BTC since the October 2025 peak.

Cycles
Cycles Deviation

How far the current cycle's ROI deviates from the average of past cycles.

Cycles
ROI Bands

The amount of days it took to 2ร—, 4ร—, 10ร— and 100ร— a purchase from each date.

Cycles
SMA Cycle-Top Breakout

Marks where the 20W SMA crosses above the previous cycle's top price.

Returns
Best Day To DCA

Whether any weekday has historically offered cheaper buys relative to trend.

Momentum
Supertrend

An ATR-based trailing stop that flips between support and resistance with the trend.

Valuation
Mayer Multiple

Price divided by the 200-day SMA. Historically hot above 2.4, cheap below 0.8.

Momentum
RSI (14d)

Wilder's Relative Strength Index on daily closes. Overbought above 70, oversold below 30.

Returns
Running ROI (1y)

Rolling 1-year return on investment, in percent.

Returns
YTD ROI

Year-to-date return for each calendar year, overlayable to compare how different years unfolded.

Returns
Quarterly Returns

Close-to-close returns for each calendar quarter across the full history.

Returns
Monthly Average ROI

The average return of each calendar month across all years.

Returns
Historical Monthly ROI by Year

Each month's return shown separately for every year.

Returns
Average Daily Returns

Bitcoin's average daily move for each calendar day of the month.

Returns
Price Drawdown From ATH

How far price sits below the highest close ever reached.

Momentum
Volatility

Rolling standard deviation of daily log returns, over 30, 60, and 180-day windows.

Momentum
Golden/Death Crosses

Golden crosses (50d SMA over 200d) and death crosses (under) marked on price.

Momentum
MACD

Momentum read from the gap between fast and slow EMAs, with signal line and histogram.

Momentum
Bollinger Bands

A 20-day average with ยฑ2ฯƒ bands that widen and squeeze with volatility.

Momentum
Pi Cycle Bottom/Top

The cycle-top signal that fires when the 111-day SMA crosses twice the 350-day SMA.

Market Cap
Crypto Heatmap

Relative market-cap sizes with the day's biggest gainers and losers.

Market Cap
Market Cap Hypotheticals

What each asset's price would be at another asset's market cap.

Market Cap
Portfolios Weighted By Market Cap

Historical performance of top-5/10/20 market-cap-weighted portfolios vs. holding BTC.

Breadth
Advance Decline Ratios

The daily share of tracked assets closing up.

Breadth
Advance Decline Index (ADI)

The running sum of daily advances minus declines.

Breadth
Absolute Breadth Index (ABI)

The absolute gap between advances and declines โ€” directionless market intensity.

Breadth
Coins Above/Below Moving Average

The percentage of tracked assets trading above their 20-week SMA.

Breadth
Color-Coded MA Strength

Each asset's moving-average stack: green where the faster average is above the slower.

Breadth
Alts vs BTC

Altcoin prices measured in BTC, indexed โ€” which alts actually hold their value against Bitcoin?

Breadth
Correlation Coefficients

90-day return correlations between the top assets and the dollar index.

Cycles
ROI After Bottom (Multiple Coins)

Each asset's multiple from the November 2022 cycle bottom.

Cycles
ROI After Bottom (Crypto Pairs)

Each asset's performance against BTC since the November 2022 bottom.

Cycles
ROI After Inception (Multiple Coins)

Each asset's multiple since its own first trading day, on a shared days axis.

Cycles
ROI After Inception (Crypto Pairs)

Each asset against BTC since its own listing day.

Cycles
ROI After Sub-Cycle Bottom (ETH)

Ethereum's recovery multiple from each of its major lows.

On-Chain
MVRV

Market cap divided by realized cap โ€” price relative to the market's aggregate cost basis.

On-Chain
MVRV Z-Score

Market cap minus realized cap, in standard deviations of their historical gap.

On-Chain
NUPL

Net unrealized profit/loss: the share of market cap that is unrealized gain.

On-Chain
Puell Multiple

Daily issuance value divided by its 365-day moving average.

On-Chain
Stock to Flow (S2F)

Current supply divided by annualized issuance โ€” Bitcoin's scarcity ratio.

On-Chain
Supply Issued & Inflation

Daily issuance in USD and the annualized supply inflation rate.

On-Chain
Ethereum Supply Dynamics vs Bitcoin

Circulating supply of ETH and BTC over time.

On-Chain
Address Activity

Daily count of unique active addresses on Bitcoin and Ethereum.

On-Chain
Transfer Count Statistics

Daily on-chain transactions and value-transfer counts for Bitcoin.

On-Chain
Transaction Fees

Total daily fees paid on Bitcoin and Ethereum, in USD.

Mining
Hash Rate

The Bitcoin network's total mining computation rate.

Mining
Hash Ribbons

30d vs 60d moving averages of hash rate; crossovers mark miner capitulation and recovery.

Mining
Hash Rate / Price

Hash rate divided by price โ€” mining effort per dollar of Bitcoin.

Mining
Miner Revenue

Total daily miner income: block subsidies plus transaction fees, in USD.

Mining
MarketCap / ThermoCap (MCTC)

Market cap divided by cumulative all-time miner revenue.

Mining
RealizedCap / ThermoCap (RCTC)

Realized cap divided by cumulative miner revenue.

Mining
Block Statistics

Daily block count and average block size.

Exchanges
Supply Held By Exchanges

Coins held on exchange addresses that Coin Metrics tracks, for BTC and ETH.

Exchanges
Supply Flow To Exchanges

Daily USD value flowing into and out of tracked exchanges, with the net.

Derivatives
Futures Open Interest

Total value of outstanding BTC and ETH futures contracts on Binance.

Derivatives
Options Open Interest

Notional value of outstanding BTC and ETH options on Deribit.

Derivatives
Long/Short Ratios

Who's positioned long vs short on Binance futures โ€” the biggest traders and the whole crowd.

Derivatives
Long/Short Percentages

The share of top-trader accounts positioned long vs short.

Social
Wikipedia Page Views

Daily Wikipedia page views for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cryptocurrency, and Blockchain.

Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index

The full price history, painted by each day's crypto Fear & Greed reading.

Risk
Risk Dashboard

Current risk, momentum, and cycle position across all tracked assets.

Market Cap
Dominance

Each asset's market cap as a share of the total tracked crypto market cap.

Market Cap
Total Crypto Market Cap & Trendline

Aggregate market cap of tracked assets with a fitted trendline and bands.

Market Cap
Total Crypto Valuation vs. Trendline

Extension of the total market cap above or below its fitted trendline.

Market Cap
Altcoin Market Capitalizations

What the market is worth once Bitcoin is removed โ€” and then Ethereum and stablecoins too.

Market Cap
Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR)

Bitcoin market cap divided by the aggregate stablecoin market cap.

Returns
Altcoin Season Index

The share of tracked altcoins outperforming Bitcoin over the trailing 90 days.

Macro
Inflation YoY

US CPI and core CPI, year-over-year.

Macro
M1 / M2 Money Supply

US money supply since 1959, log scale.

Macro
Fed Balance Sheet & ON RRP

Fed total assets alongside the overnight reverse repo facility.

Macro
Treasury Yield Spreads

The 10yโˆ’2y and 10yโˆ’3m Treasury spreads โ€” the recession signal.

Macro
Fed Funds Rate

The federal funds effective rate since 1954.

Macro
Unemployment & Payrolls

The unemployment rate and total nonfarm payrolls.

Macro
GDP & Debt-to-GDP

Nominal US GDP and federal debt as a share of GDP.

Macro
Personal Income & Saving Rate

Real personal income (ex transfers) and the personal saving rate.

Macro
Consumer Sentiment (MCSI)

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index since 1952.

Macro
Housing Starts & New Home Sales

New residential construction and new single-family home sales.

Macro
House Prices & Mortgage Rates

Case-Shiller national home price index against the 30-year mortgage rate.

Macro
Bank Loans

Consumer, business, and real-estate loans at US commercial banks.

Macro
Financial Conditions (NFCI)

The Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index โ€” one number for how tight money is.

Macro
Bear Markets & Quantitative Tightening

Bitcoin against the Fed's balance sheet, with Quantitative Tightening episodes marked.

Other
BTC vs. DXY

Bitcoin against the US Dollar Index โ€” historically strongly negatively correlated.

Other
Benford's Law

Do Bitcoin's price digits follow the distribution of naturally occurring numbers?

Other
Price Milestone Crossings

Every crossing of a round-number price level, plotted as events over time.

Other
Days Since % Decline

A running counter of days since the last single-day drop of 5%, 10%, or 20%.

Other
Days Since % Gain

A running counter of days since the last single-day gain of 5%, 10%, or 20%.

Returns
Monthly Returns

Month-by-month close-to-close returns across the full history.