Risk · BTC
Price Color Coded By Risk
The full price history, colored by the risk metric at each point in time.
low risk → high risk
Understanding this chart
Same data as the Risk Metric chart, painted directly onto price: green stretches are low-risk accumulation zones, red stretches are euphoric extension. The mapping makes the strategy visceral — the green you'd want to have bought is always at the bottom of crashes, which is exactly when buying feels worst.
This is also the fastest way to sanity-check the risk model itself: red lining up with the 2013/2017/2021 tops and green with the 2015/2018/2022 bottoms is exactly the calibration the quantile-fan version of the metric was chosen for.