quantitative market analysis
Every market,
one tortilla.
98 charts of crypto risk, cycles, on-chain, breadth, and macro — recomputed daily from raw data. No hype, no paywall, just math on a warm plate.
today's read · 2026-07-20
$64,682-0.18%
risk0.04 · accumulation zone
fair value
$113,338
from ATH
-48.1%
featured charts
all 98 charts →Risk
Risk Metric
0–1 risk score: price's percentile position inside the quantile regression fan. v2.
Risk
Quantile Regression Fan
Fan chart from asymmetric quadratic quantile regression — the model behind the risk metric.
Price
Price + Moving Averages
BTC/USD with toggleable overlays: log regression bands, Bull Market Support Band (20W SMA / 21W EMA), 50W and 200W SMAs.
Cycles
ROI After Halving
Price multiples following each of Bitcoin's four halvings, overlaid day by day.
Returns
YTD ROI
Year-to-date return for each calendar year, overlayable to compare how different years unfolded.
Returns
Monthly Returns
Month-by-month close-to-close returns across the full history.